Medical Policy

Policy Num:     11.003.067
Policy Name:    Genotype-Guided Warfarin Dosing
Policy ID:          [11.003.067]  [Ac / B / M- / P-]  [2.04.48]


Last Review:      July 08, 2024
Next Review:      July 20, 2025
 

Related Policies: None

Genotype-Guided Warfarin Dosing

Population Reference No.

Populations

Interventions

Comparators

Outcomes

1

Individuals:

·     With conditions requiring warfarin treatment

Interventions of interest are:

·     Genotype-guided warfarin dosing

Comparators of interest are:

·     Clinically guided warfarin dosing

Relevant outcomes include:

·         Morbid events

·         Medication use

·         Treatment-related mortality

·         Treatment-related morbidity


Summary

Description

Using information about an individual's genotype may help in guiding warfarin dosing and could reduce the time to dose stabilization and selection of an appropriate maintenance dose that might avoid the consequences of too much or too little anticoagulation.

Summary of Evidence

For individuals with conditions requiring warfarin treatment who receive genotype-guided warfarin dosing, the evidence includes multiple randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and systematic reviews of RCTs. Relevant outcomes are morbid events, medication use, and treatment-related mortality and morbidity. Thirty RCTs and 6 recent systematic reviews were identified. Most RCTs were single-center studies including fewer than 250 patients. Systematic reviews found the percentage of time the international normalized ratio (INR) was in therapeutic range was higher in patients treated with genotype-guided warfarin therapy; however, the heterogeneity between studies was high for this outcome. No RCT reported statistically significant differences in major bleeding, and only 1 reported a significant reduction in thromboembolic events (TEEs) with genotype-guided dosing, but studies were not powered to show differences in these outcomes. Meta-analyses of RCTs found no difference between genotype-guided dosing and clinical dosing for mortality, and only 1 found reduction in TEEs, but genotype-guided dosing was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding. Very few trials enrolled sufficient numbers of subpopulations except White participants. In the COAG study, Black individuals (constituting 27% of trial participants) fared better in the clinically-guided group than in the genotype-guided group. One trial of elderly Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation experienced improved time with INR in the therapeutic range and a reduced risk of ischemic stroke but no difference in bleeding events. The evidence is insufficient to determine that the technology results in an improvement in the net health outcome.

Additional Information

Not applicable.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this evidence review is to determine whether genotype-guided warfarin dosing improves the net health outcome (eg, to prevent or treat thromboembolic events [TEEs]) in individuals who require warfarin therapy.

POLICY statements

Genotyping to determine cytochrome P450 2C9 (CYP2C9), P450 4F2 (CYP4F2), and vitamin K epoxide reductase subunit C1 (VKORC1) genetic variants is considered investigational for the purpose of managing the administration and dosing of warfarin, including use in guiding the initial warfarin dose to decrease time to stable international normalized ratio (INR) and to reduce the risk of serious bleeding.

POLICY GUIDELINES

Coding

See the Codes table for details.

BENEFIT APPLICATION

BlueCard/National Account Issues

Some Plans may have contract or benefit exclusions for genetic testing.

Benefits are determined by the group contract, member benefit booklet, and/or individual subscriber certificate in effect at the time services were rendered. Benefit products or negotiated coverages may have all or some of the services discussed in this medical policy excluded from their coverage.

BACKGROUND

Warfarin

Warfarin is administered to prevent and treat thromboembolic events (TEEs) in high-risk patients; warfarin dosing is a challenging process, due to the narrow therapeutic window, variable response to dosing, numerous drug interactions, and serious bleeding events in 5% or more of patients (depending on definition).1, Patients are typically given a starting dose of 2 mg to 5 mg and frequently monitored with dose adjustments until a stable international normalized ratio (INR) value (a standardized indicator of clotting time) between 2 and 3 is achieved (depending on indication). During this adjustment period, a patient is at high risk of bleeding. Stable or maintenance warfarin dose varies among patients by more than an order of magnitude. Factors influencing stable dose include body mass index, age, interacting drugs, and indication for therapy.

Enzyme Variant Impact on Warfarin Metabolism

Warfarin, which is primarily metabolized in the liver by the cytochrome P450 2C9 (CYP2C9) enzyme, exerts an anticoagulant effect by inhibiting the protein vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1 (VKORC1). Three single nucleotide variants, 2 in the CYP2C9 gene and 1 in the VKORC1 gene play key roles in determining the effect of warfarin therapy on coagulation.2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,CYP2C9*1 metabolizes warfarin normally, CYP2C9*2 reduces warfarin metabolism by 30%, and CYP2C9*3 reduces warfarin metabolism by 90%. Because warfarin given to patients with *2 or *3 variants will be metabolized less efficiently, the drug will remain in circulation longer, so lower warfarin doses will be needed to achieve anticoagulation. CYP2C9 and VKORC1 genetic variants account for approximately 55% of the variability in warfarin maintenance dose.2,12, Genome-wide association studies have also identified that a single nucleotide variant in the CYP4F2 gene has been reported to account for a small proportion of the variability in stable dose (the CYP4F2 gene encodes a protein involved in vitamin K oxidation).13,14,Studies have predicted that CYP4F2 variants explain 2% to 7% of the variability in warfarin dose in models, including other genetic and nongenetic factors.14,15,

Using the results of CYP2C9 and VKORC1 genetic testing to predict a warfarin starting dose that approximates a likely maintenance dose may benefit patients by decreasing the risk of serious bleeding events and the time to stable INR. Algorithms have incorporated not only genetic variation but also other significant patient characteristics and clinical factors to predict the best starting dose.3,16,17,18,19,20,21,22, Studies have compared the ability of different algorithms to predict a stable warfarin dose accurately.23,24,25,26,27, Currently, there does not appear to be a consensus for a single algorithm.26,

Several studies have examined associations between CYP2C9 and VKORC1 variants and warfarin dosing requirements in children.28,29,30,

There are different frequencies of variants related to warfarin pharmacokinetics across different races and ethnicities. Many of the original studies identifying associations between genes and prediction of warfarin dosing as well as studies developing algorithms were derived from cohorts composed largely of people of European descent. Evidence has suggested these algorithms do not perform as well in other ethnic groups.17,18,19,31,For example, CYP2C9*2 and CYP2C9*3 are not as useful in predicting warfarin dosing in Black individuals, but other important variants have been identified such as CYP2C9*5,*6,*8, and *11.32, Studies have also identified new genetic variants and/or evaluated clinical genetic algorithms for warfarin dose in Black,33,34,35, Puerto Rican,36, Thai,37, Egyptian,38,39, Chinese,40,41,42, Japanese,43, Arabic,44, Turkish,45, African,46, Russian,47, and Scandinavian48, populations.

Regulatory Status

Several tests to help assess warfarin sensitivity by determining the presence or absence of the relevant CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 variants, have been cleared by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for marketing (Table 1). Similar tests also may be available as laboratory-developed services; laboratory-developed tests must meet the general regulatory standards of the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments. The tests are not identical regarding the specific variants and number of variants detected. Generally, such tests are not intended as stand-alone tools to determine optimum drug dosage but should be used with clinical evaluation and other tools, including the INR, to predict the initial dose that best approximates the maintenance dose for patients.

Table 1. FDA-Cleared Warfarin Tests
Test (Laboratories) Alleles Tested Estimated Time to Completion, h
eSensor® Warfarin Sensitivity Test (GenMark Dx)a CYP2C9*2 and *3, VKORC1 1639G>A 3-4
Rapid Genotyping Assay (ParagonDx) CYP2C9*2 and *3, VKORC1 1173C>T Not reportedb
Verigene® Warfarin Metabolism Nucleic Acid Test (Nanosphere) CYP2C9*2 and *3, VKORC1 1173C>T 2
Infiniti® 2C9-VKORC1 Multiplex Assay for Warfarin (AutoGenomics)c CYP2C9*2 and *3, VKORC1 1639G>A 6-8
eQ-PCR™ LightCycler® Warfarin Genotyping Kit (TrimGen) CYP2C9*2 and *3, VKORC1 1639G>A 2
Adapted from Cavallari et al (2011).49,
CYP2C9: cytochrome P450 2C9 enzyme; FDA: Food and Drug Administration; VKORC1: vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1.

a eSensor Warfarin Plus Test offers testing for CYP2C9*2, *3, *5, *6, *11, *14, *15, and *16, VKORC1 1639G>A, and CYP4F2.
b Langley et al (2009) reported a turnaround time of 1.5 hours for the ParagonDx SmartCycler, which may be a precursor assay.23,
c The expanded Infiniti CYP450 2C9 assay offers testing for CYP2C9*2, *3, *4, *5, *6, and *11, VKORC1 1639G>A, and 6 other VKORC variants.

The FDA (2007) approved updated labeling for warfarin to include information on testing for gene variants that may help "personalize" the starting dose for each patient and reduce the number of serious bleeding events. The label was updated again in 2010. With each update, manufacturers of warfarin were directed to add similar information to their product labels. The 2010 update added information on guiding initial dose by genotyping results for CYP2C9 and VKORC1, providing a table of genotypes and suggested initial dose ranges for each. However, suggested starting doses are also provided when genotyping information is unavailable, indicating that genetic testing is not required. Furthermore, the FDA did not include information on genetic variation in the label's black box warning on bleeding risk.

RATIONALE

This evidence review was created in September 2007 and has been updated regularly with searches of the PubMed database. The most recent literature update was performed through April 29, 2024.

Evidence reviews assess the clinical evidence to determine whether the use of technology improves the net health outcome. Broadly defined, health outcomes are the length of life, quality of life, and ability to function-including benefits and harms. Every clinical condition has specific outcomes that are important to patients and to managing the course of the condition. Validated outcome measures are necessary to ascertain whether a condition improves or worsens; and whether the magnitude of that change is clinically significant. The net health outcome is a balance of benefits and harms.

To assess whether the evidence is sufficient to draw conclusions about the net health outcome of technology, 2 domains are examined: relevance, and quality and credibility. To be relevant, studies must represent 1 or more intended clinical use of the technology in the intended population and compare an effective and appropriate alternative at a comparable intensity. For some conditions, the alternative will be supportive care or surveillance. The quality and credibility of the evidence depend on study design and conduct, minimizing bias and confounding that can generate incorrect findings. The randomized controlled trial (RCT) is preferred to assess efficacy; however, in some circumstances, nonrandomized studies may be adequate. Randomized controlled trials are rarely large or long enough to capture less common adverse events and long-term effects. Other types of studies can be used for these purposes and to assess generalizability to broader clinical populations and settings of clinical practice.

The primary goal of pharmacogenomics testing and personalized medicine is to achieve better clinical outcomes compared with the standard of care. Drug response varies greatly between individuals, and genetic factors are known to play a role. However, in most cases, the genetic variation only explains a modest portion of the variance in the individual response because clinical outcomes are also affected by a wide variety of factors including alternate pathways of metabolism and patient- and disease-related factors that may affect absorption, distribution, and elimination of the drug. Therefore, assessment of clinical utility cannot be made by a chain of evidence from clinical validity data alone. In such cases, evidence evaluation requires studies that directly demonstrate that the pharmacogenomic test alters clinical outcomes; it is not sufficient to demonstrate that the test predicts a disorder or a phenotype.

Promotion of greater diversity and inclusion in clinical research of historically marginalized groups (e.g., People of Color [African-American, Asian, Black, Latino and Native American]; LGBTQIA (Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Transgender, Queer, Intersex, Asexual); Women; and People with Disabilities [Physical and Invisible]) allows policy populations to be more reflective of and findings more applicable to our diverse members. While we also strive to use inclusive language related to these groups in our policies, use of gender-specific nouns (e.g., women, men, sisters, etc.) will continue when reflective of language used in publications describing study populations.

Population Reference No. 1

Genotype-Guided Warfarin Dosing

Clinical Context and Therapy Purpose

The purpose of genotype-guided warfarin dosing is to guide an individual's initiation and maintenance dose of warfarin by incorporating demographic, clinical, and genotype data. In theory, this should lead to a predicted dose that will decrease the probability of over- or undercoagulation thereby avoiding the downstream consequences of thromboembolism or bleeding.

The following PICO was used to select literature to inform this review.

Populations

The relevant population of interest is patients being considered for treatment with warfarin.

Interventions

A number of commercial tests for individual genes or panel tests are available and listed in Table 1. Numerous algorithms have been developed to guide warfarin dosing based on the results of genetic tests and other demographic and clinical factors.

Comparators

The comparator of interest is standard clinical management without genetic testing.

Outcomes

Specific outcomes of interest are listed in Table 2. The interest is in whether genotype-guided warfarin dosing reduces adverse events during the dose adjustment period. Therefore, outcomes in the first 1 to 2 months are relevant.

Table 2. Outcomes of Interest for Individuals Undergoing Genotyping to Guide Warfarin Therapy
Outcomes Details
Morbid events Bleeding, thromboembolism
Medication use Initial and maintenance dose selection
Treatment-related mortality Death due to under- or overtreatment
Treatment-related morbidity Time to achieve therapeutic INR, time in therapeutic INR, bleeding, thromboembolism
INR: international normalized ratio.
 
Study Selection Criteria

Methodologically credible studies were selected using the following principles:

Review of Evidence

Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses

Several systematic reviews and meta-analyses have assessed genotype-guided warfarin dosing compared with clinical dosing. A comparison of the trials included in more recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses is shown in Table 3. The systematic reviews and meta-analyses included a total of 30 trials published between 2005 and 2020. The reviews used similar eligibility criteria leading to a similar set of overlapping studies. In the discussion below, we focus on the 6 most recent and comprehensive reviews, conducted by Belley-Cote et al (2015)50,, Tse et al (2018),51, the Washington State Health Technology Assessment Program (Washington HTA; 2018),52, Yang et al (2019),53, Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan (2020),54,and Wang et al (2022).55, Characteristics and results of these reviews are summarized in Tables 4 and 5.

Table 3. RCTs Included in Systematic Reviews of Genotype versus Clinical Dosing of Warfarin
Trials Systematic Reviews          
  Belley-Cote et al (2015)50, Tse et al (2018)51, Washington HTA (2018)52, Yang et al (2019)53, Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan (2020)54, Wang et al (2022)55,
Hillman et al (2005)56,
Anderson et al (2007)57,  
Caraco et al (2008)58,  
Huang et al (2009)59,
Burmester et al (2011)60,  
McMillin et al (2011)61,          
Korneva et al (2011)62,          
Borgman et al (2012)63,  
Wang et al (2012)64,  
Radhakrishnan et al (2012)65,      
Jonas et al (2013)66,  
Kimmel et al (2013)67,  
Pirmohamed et al (2013)68,
Verhoef et al (2013)69,        
Li et al (2014)70,    
Pengo et al (2015)71,  
Supe et al (2015)72,      
Duan (2016)73,      
Gage (2017)5,  
Jin (2017)74,    
Wen (2017)75,  
Jiang (2016)76,          
Makar-Ausperger et al (2018)77,        
Xu et al (2018)78,        
Syn et al (2018)79,        
Hao et al (2019)80,          
Guo et al (2020)81,        
Lee et al (2020)82,        
Panchenko et al (2020)47,        
Zhu et al (2020)83,          
RCT: randomized controlled trial.
 
Table 4. Summary of Systematic Reviews of RCTs of Genotype versus Clinical Dosing of Warfarin
Study Dates Participants RCTs N (Range) Duration
Belley-Cote et al (2015)50, To Feb 2014 Adults requiring initiation of anticoagulation for any indication 12 3217 (34-1015) 1-6 mo
Tse et al (2018)51, 2000-2015 Genotype-guided vs. conventional warfarin dosing (population not specified) 18 5230 (NR) 1-3 mo
Washington HTA52, To January 2018 Adults and children initiating or changing dosage of oral anticoagulant medications 13 4788 (34-1650) 1-6 mo
Yang et al (2019)53, To October 2017 Patients with any indication for warfarin therapy 15 4852 (26-1597) 1-3 mo
Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan (2020)54, To August 2020 Genotype-guided (using strategies based on CYP2C9 alone; CYP2C9 and VKORC1; or CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2) vs. conventional warfarin dosing (population not specified) 26 7898 (38-1650) 1-3 mo
Wang et al (2022)55, To July 2021 Patients taking warfarin for any indication in studies comparing genotyped-guided warfarin dosing to conventional warfarin dosing 27 9906 (26-2264) 21-360 days
CYP2C9: cytochrome P450 2C9 enzyme; NR: not reported; RCT: randomized controlled trial; VKORC1: vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1.
Table 5. Results of Systematic Reviews of RCTs of Genotype versus Clinical Dosing of Warfarin
Study TEEs Major Bleeding, % INR >4, % % Time INR in Therapeutic Range Deaths Time to First Therapeutic INR Time to Reach Stable INR or Warfarin Dose
Belley-Cote et al (2015)50, TEEs, major bleeding, or death          
Total N 2223 NR 2767 NR NR NR
Pooled effect (95% CI); p RR, 0.85 (0.54 to 1.34);.48   MD, 4.3 (0.4 to 8.3);.03      
I2 (p) 10% (.35)   79% (<.001)      
Tse et al (2018)51,              
Total N NR NR NR   NR NR NR
Pooled effect (95% CI); p RR, 0.84 (0.56 to 1.26);.40 RR, 0.82 (0.69 to 0.98); <.05 RR, 0.87( 0.78 to 0.98); <.05 MD, 3.1% standard error 1.2%; <.01 RR, 1.16 (0.46 to 2.91);.76    
I2 (p) 0% 31% 0% 80% 0%    
Washington HTA (2018)52,              
Total N 4241 4241 4056 4378 3540 NR NR
Pooled effect (95% CI); p RR, 0.85 (0.56 to 1.28);.44 RR, 0.43 (0.22 to 0.84);.01 RR, 0.91 (0.80 to 1.04);.16 MD, 3.11 (-0.28 to 6.50);.07 RR, 1.17 (0.43 to 3.22);.76    
I2 (p) 0% 0% 0% 78%; <.00001 0%    
Yang (2019)53,              
Total N NR NR NR 3831 NR NR NR
Pooled effect (95% CI); p RR, 0.27 (0.03 to 2.38);.239
[vs. fixed-dose warfarin]
RR, 0.89 (0.58 to 1.35);.572
[vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
RR, 0.16 (0.01 to 3.96);.265
[vs. fixed-dose warfarin]
RR, 0.32 (0.13 to 0.74);.008
[vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
RR, 0.83 (0.67 to 1.03);.085
[vs. fixed-dose warfarin]
RR, 0.95 (0.78 to 1.15);.586
[vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
WMD, 3.36 (-2.12 to 8.84);.229 [vs. fixed-dose warfarin]
WMD, 0.88 (-2.26 to 4.02);.582 [vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
RR, 2.56 (0.50 to 13.05);.258
[vs. fixed-dose warfarin]
RR, 0.72 (0.20 to 2.62);.622
[vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
   
I2 (p) 0% (NR) 0% [clinically adjusted] (NR) 0% [fixed dose] (NR);
31.2% [clinically adjusted] (NR)
59.2% [fixed dose] (NR);
63% [clinically adjusted] (NR)
0% (NR) 41.2% [fixed dose] (NR) 93.5% [fixed dose] (NR); 55.2% [clinically adjusted] (NR)
Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan (2020)54,              
Total N 3636 6246   6356 2000    
Pooled effect (95% CI); p OR, 0.35 (0.01 to 9.18); NR [CYP2C9 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

OR, 0.93 (0.33 to 2.59); NR [CYP2C9 and VKORC1 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

OR, 0.81 (0.51 to 1.29); NR [CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
OR, 0.30 (0.10 to 0.86); NR [CYP2C9 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

OR, 0.86 (0.59 to 1.30); NR [CYP2C9 and VKORC1 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

OR, 0.73 (0.30 to 1.74); NR [CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
  WMD, 0.2 (-15.82 to 16.22); NR [CYP2C9 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

WMD, 3.91 (1.18 to 6.63); NR [CYP2C9 and VKORC1 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

WMD, 2.80 (-0.23 to 5.83); NR [CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
OR, 0.87 (0.18 to 4.14); NR [CYP2C9 and VKORC1 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

OR, 0.65 (0.11 to 3.99); NR [CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
WMD, -2.73 (-3.41 to -2.05); NR [CYP2C9 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

WMD, -1.92 (-3.23 to -0.61); NR [CYP2C9 and VKORC1 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
WMD, -8.10 (-12.54 to -3.66); NR [CYP2C9 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

WMD, -4.60 (-6.87 to -2.34); NR [CYP2C9 and VKORC1 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]

WMD, -1.58 (-4.28 to 1.12); NR [CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 vs. clinically adjusted warfarin]
I2 (p) NR NR   NR NR NR NR
Wang et al (2022)55,              
Total N 6993 7175 5251 FU <30 days: 5241

FU >30 days: 2946
5943 4075 3156
Pooled effect (95% CI); p RR, 0.69 (0.49 to 0.96);.03 RR, 0.50 (0.33 to 0.75);.0008 RR, 0.90 (0.80 to 1.01);.08 FU <30 days: MD, 5.95 (2.41 to 9.49);.001

FU >30 days: MD, 4.93 (1.40 to 8.47);.006
RR, 0.75 (0.36 to 1.56);.44 MD, -1.80 days (-2.69 to -0.92); <.0001 MD, -5.08 days (-7.09 to -3.07); <.00001
I2 (p) 0% (.8) 0% (.44) 0% (.8) FU <30 days: 87% (<.00001)

FU >30 days: 78% (<.00001)
0% (.84) 92% (<.00001) 96% (<.00001)
CI: confidence interval; CYP2C9: cytochrome P450 2C9 enzyme; FU: follow-up; INR: international normalized ratio; MD: mean difference; NR: not reported; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: relative risk; TEE: thromboembolic event; VKORC1: vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1; WMD: weighted mean difference.
 
All 6 reviews found that the percentage of time the international normalized ratio (INR) was in therapeutic range was higher in patients treated with genotype-guided warfarin therapy; however, the heterogeneity between studies was high for this outcome. In the Belley-Cote et al (2015) review, there was no difference between groups on the composite outcome of thromboembolic events (TEEs), major bleeding, or death. Similarly, Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan evaluated these outcomes independently in a network meta-analysis and found no significant differences between clinically adjusted warfarin and genotype-guided dosing, except that bleeding risk was lower with cytochrome P450 2C9 (CYP2C9)-guided dosing compared with clinically adjusted warfarin. Wang et al (2022) was the only systematic review to find a significant reduction in TEEs with genotype-guided warfarin dosing, driven mainly by the Zhu et al (2020) RCT.55, There was also a reduction in major bleeding events but not deaths, in the genotype-guided warfarin group compared to the control group. Meta-analyses in the most recent systematic reviews were heavily weighted by the large Genetics Informatics Trial (GIFT), published in 2017.5, Authors of these reviews found no difference between genotype-guided dosing and clinical dosing for mortality but genotype-guided dosing was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding. For example, the Washington HTA reviewers found a 57% reduction for risk of major bleeding in the pharmacogenetic testing group compared to controls (relative risk [RR], 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.22 to 0.84; p=.01).52, The absolute number of major bleeding events was low, with an anticipated 8.6 fewer major bleeding events per 1000 people with pharmacogenetic testing (95% CI, 2.7 to 14.4 fewer major bleeding episodes per 1000 people). Subgroup analyses by comparator groups showed this difference was statistically significant only when pharmacogenetic testing was compared to using a clinical algorithm to guide initial dosing (RR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.81), and not when compared to a fixed dose (RR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.14 to 3.53). Washington HTA reviewers rated the overall quality of the evidence for major bleeding as moderate due to the imprecision of the estimate.

Belley-Cote et al (2015)50, used the GRADE approach to evaluate the quality of evidence. A summary of the risk of bias of individual studies is as follows: (1) the trials inconsistently reported allocation concealment; (2) only 1 study blinded participants, clinicians, research personnel, and outcome assessors; (3) patients who died during the trial period were excluded from analysis in 2 trials; (4) the 3 studies with highest loss to follow-up had losses of 12%, 16%, and 23%, respectively; and (5) 5 studies did not report the definitions used for bleeding events. Reviewers found that genotype-guided vitamin K antagonist dosing compared with standard dosing algorithms did not decrease a composite outcome of death, thromboembolism and major bleeding (n=2223, 87 events; RR=0.85; 95% CI, 0.54 to 1.34; p=.48) but did result in an improved time of INR in the therapeutic range. The improvement in time in therapeutic range was reported in a pooled analysis of RCTs with fixed dosing algorithms but not with clinical algorithms. Of the 13 trials included in the Washington HTA systematic review, 3 were judged to be at low-risk of bias, 4 at moderate-risk of bias, and 6 at high-risk of bias. Study limitations included inadequate methods of randomization and allocation concealment and lack of blinding of outcomes.52, Yang et al (2019)53, also completed a risk of bias assessment of included RCTs. All trials claimed to be randomized in nature; however, the random sequence generation was only explicitly described in 9 studies. Additionally, only 7 studies discussed allocation concealment; blinding was not implemented in most of the included RCTs as administration of an initial fixed warfarin dose would potentially imply to the participants and study personnel that the subject was randomized to the conventional dosing versus genotype-guided arm. Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan assessed the quality of evidence as follows for the assessed outcomes and comparisons: time to first therapeutic INR with CYP2C9: low; time to first therapeutic INR with CYP2C9 and vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1 (VKORC1): moderate; time to stable INR or warfarin dose with CYP2C9: very low; time to stable INR with CYP2C9 and VKORC1: very low; and percentage of time the INR was in therapeutic range with CYP2C9 and VKORC1: very low.54, The quality of evidence was often downgraded because of high risk of bias, potential for publication bias, and imprecision. Wang et al (2022)55, assessed risk of bias of their included studies. Three studies were identified as unclear on all of the bias assessments because they were conference abstracts with limited data. In the selection bias category, 3 studies were assigned high risk of bias. In the reporting bias category, 4 studies were identified as high risk of bias. For performance bias, 2 studies were assigned high risk. Overall, the majority of trials had a low risk of of detection and attrition bias.

Randomized Controlled Trials

A total of 30 RCTs comparing genotype-guided with clinical dosing of warfarin are included in this policy, all of which were included in at least 1 systematic review (Table 3). Characteristics and results of key RCTs included in these systematic reviews and meta-analyses are presented in Tables 6 and 7.

Most RCTs were single-center studies including fewer than 250 patients. The trials used varying algorithms in both the genotype-guided and clinical dosing arms. Most studies included mixed indications for warfarin use. The trials primarily included patients of European descent. Twenty-seven percent of the participants in the multicenter Clarification of Optimal Anticoagulation through Genetics (COAG) trial67, were Black.

While a few of the RCTs reported differences in the percentage of time the INR was in therapeutic range or the proportion of patients with an INR greater than 4, none reported statistically significant differences in major bleeding, and only 1 (Zhu et al [2020]) reported significant reduction in TEEs (ischemic stroke) with genotype-guided dosing.83, However, it is important to note that the event rates were very low in the selected trials and the studies were not powered to show differences in rates of major bleeding or TEEs.

Three multicenter RCTs with more than 400 patients have been reported: COAG,67, European Pharmacogenetics of Anticoagulant Therapy (EU-PACT), 68, and GIFT.5, These larger RCTs, along with the large single center trial by Zhu et al (2020),83, are discussed in the following paragraphs and summarized in Tables 6 and 7. The systematic reviews discussed above included these large trials. The Belley-Cote systematic review was published prior to GIFT.

Table 6. Characteristics of Key RCTs of Genotype-guided Warfarin Dosing
Study; Trial Countries Sites Dates Participants Interventions
Kimmel et al (2013)67,
COAG
US 18 2009-2013
  • Adults initiating warfarin therapy with expected duration ≥1 mo
  • 27% Black race
Algorithm including clinical variables only
Pirmohamed et al (2013)68,
EU-PACT
UK, Sweden 2 2010-2013
  • Age >18 y; warfarin-naive; anticoagulation for AF or VTE
  • 99% White race
Clinical dosing algorithm including age, sex, height, weight, and amiodarone use
Gage (2017)84,
GIFT
US 6 2011-2016
  • Patients aged 65 y initiating warfarin for elective hip or knee arthroplasty
  • INR <1.35
  • 91% White race
WarfarinDosing.org algorithm excluding genotype data
Zhu et al (2020)83, China 1 2016-2018
  • Elderly Chinese patients (≥60 y) with AF
Dosing algorithm including CYP2C9 and VKORC1 genotype and clinical data vs. dosing algorithm using clinical data only
AF: atrial fibrillation; CYP2C9: cytochrome P450 2C9 enzyme; INR: international normalized ratio; RCT: randomized controlled trial;VKORC1: vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1VTE: venous thromboembolism.
 
Table 7. Results of Key RCTs of Genotype-guided Warfarin Dosing
Study Major Bleeding TEEs INR >4 % Time in Therapeutic Range Deaths
Kimmel et al (2013)67,
COAG
         
N 1015 1015 955 955 1015
Genotype-guided dosing, n (%) 4 (1) 5 (1) 100 (19) 45% 2
Control, n (%) 10 (2) 4 (1) 92 (18) 45% 1
TE (95% CI); p HR, 0.41 (0.13 to 1.31);.13 HR, 1.27 (0.34 to 4.73);.72 HR, 1.08 (0.81 to 1.44);.59 NR;.91 HR, 2.09 (0.19 to 23.22);.55
Pirmohamed et al (2013)68,
EU-PACT
         
N 427 427 427 427 427
Genotype-guided dosing, n (%) 0 0 57 (27) 67.4% 5
Control, n (%) 0 1 79 (37) 60.3% 2
TE (95% CI); p     OR, 0.63 (0.41 to 0.97);.03 MD, 7.0 (3.3 to 10.6); <.001  
Gage (2017)84,
GIFT
         
N 1597 1597 1597 1588 1597
Genotype-guided dosing, n (%) 2 (0.2) 33 (4.1) 56 (6.9) 55% 0
Control, n (%) 8 (1.0) 38 (4.8) 77 (9.8) 51% 0
TE (95% CI); p RD, 0.8 (-0.2 to 1.8);.06 RD, 0.7 (-1.3 to 2.8);.48 RD, 2.8 (0.1 to 5.6);.04 MD, 3.4 (1.1 to 5.8);.004  
Zhu et al (2020)83,          
N 507 507a NR 507 NR
Genotype-guided dosing, n (%) 18 (8.61) 5 (2.39)   70.80% (SD, 24.39)  
Control, n (%) 14 (10.61) 9 (6.82)   53.44% (SD, 26.73)  
TE (95% CI); p HR, 0.75 (0.35 to 1.58);.43 HR, 0.22 (0.065 to 0.77);.017   MD, 17.36% (11.82 to 22.89); <.001  
CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio; INR: international normalized ratio; MD: mean difference; NR: not reported; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RD: risk difference; SD: standard deviation; TE: treatment effect; TEE: thromboembolic event.
a Reported as ischemic stroke.

Two larger RCTs of pharmacogenetic dosing algorithms were published by Kimmel et al (2013) and Pirmohamed et al (2013).67,68, The larger of these, the COAG trial, was conducted in the U.S. by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute,67, and the smaller trial was conducted in Sweden and England by the EU-PACT consortium.68, In both trials, the intervention period was the first 5 days of dosing; genotyping comprised the CYP2D6*2 and *3 and VKORC1 1639G>A alleles; the primary outcome was the mean percentage of time in the therapeutic INR range of 2.0 to 3.0. Neither trial reported an intention-to-treat analysis.

In the COAG trial, 1015 individuals, 6 to 70 years old, 51% male, and 27% Black were randomized to warfarin doses for the first 5 days of therapy based on their clinical and genetic characteristics or their clinical characteristics alone.67, Patients were followed for 4 additional weeks during which time their drug doses were adjusted based on standard protocols. Ninety-four percent (n=955) of patients completed the 5-day intervention period and were included in efficacy analyses. Results showed that INR was within the desired range 45% (p=.91) of the time in both groups during the 28-day monitoring period, based on standardized blood clotting tests. The principal secondary outcome (a composite of INR ≥4, major bleeding [fatal hemorrhage, intracranial bleeding, or symptomatic bleeding requiring overnight hospitalization, transfusion, angiographic intervention, or surgery], or thromboembolism) was also similar in the 2 groups (20% vs. 21%, respectively; p=.93). A subgroup analysis of 255 Black patients showed that the clinically-guided group fared better than the genotype-guided group (INR was within the desired range 43.5% vs. 35.2%, respectively; p=.01).

In the EU-PACT trial, 455 individuals, 24 to 90 years old, 99% White, were randomized to warfarin doses for the first 3 days based on their clinical and genetic characteristics or their clinical characteristics alone.68, Patients were followed for 12 additional weeks during which time their drug doses were adjusted based on standard protocols. Ninety-four percent of patients had 13 or more days of INR data and were included in efficacy analyses. Results showed that INR was within the desired range 67% of the time in the genotype-guided dosing group compared with 60% in the clinically-guided group (p<.001). There were no differences in secondary outcomes assessed (bleeding or TEEs). However, the percentage of patients with an INR >4 was lower in the genotype-guided group (27%) than in the clinically-guided group (37%). The time to achieving therapeutic INR was also shorter in the genotype-guided group (21 days) than in the clinically-guided group (29 days).

Gage et al (2017) reported on the results of the GIFT RCT, which evaluated genotype-guided warfarin dosing (n=831) and clinically-guided dosing (n=819) in patients aged 65 years or older initiating warfarin for elective hip or knee arthroplasty; the trial was conducted at 6 U.S. medical centers.84, Patients were genotyped for VKORC1-1639G>A, CYP2C9*2, CYP2C9*3, and CYP4F2 V433M variants. The primary endpoint was the composite of major bleeding, INR ≥4, venous thromboembolism, or death. The mean age of randomized patients was 72, 64% of participants were women, and 91% were White. Randomized participants who received 1 or more doses of warfarin were included in the analysis (808 in the genotype-guided group vs. 789 in the clinically-guided group). Eighty-seven (11%) patients in the genotype-guided group versus 116 (15%) patients in the clinically-guided group met at least 1 of the components of the composite outcome (absolute difference, 3.9%; 95% CI, 0.7% to 7.2%; p=.02). The difference in the composite outcome was primarily driven by the difference in the percent of patients with INR ≥4 (56 vs. 77; RR=0.71; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.99). There were 2 versus 8 major bleeding events in the genotype versus clinical groups (RR=0.24; 95% CI, 0.05 to 1.15) and 33 versus 38 venous TEEs (RR=0.85; 95% CI, 0.54 to 1.34). There were no deaths.

Zhu et al (2020) randomized elderly Chinese patients, aged 60 years or greater, with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation to receive their warfarin dose based on an algorithm using genetic and clinical factors (genetic group, n=313) or an algorithm using clinical factors only (n=194).83, Investigators found that INR time in therapeutic range was improved with genotype-guided dosing based on CYP2C9 and VKORC1 compared with clinically-guided dosing. Additionally, bleeding events did not differ between groups, but ischemic stroke occurred less frequently with genotype-guided dosing.

Risk of bias and quality of evidence assessments for the RCTs included in the Belley-Cote (2015),50, Washington HTA (2018),52, Yang (2019),53, Sridharan and Sivaramakrishnan (2020),54, and Wang (2022)55, systematic reviews were summarized in the previous section.

Section Summary: Genotype-Guided Warfarin Dosing

Multiple randomized trials and meta-analyses of these trials have examined the use of pharmacogenomic algorithms to guide initial warfarin dosing. A total of 30 RCTs and 6 recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses of genotype-guided dosing of warfarin were identified.

Most RCTs were single-center studies including fewer than 250 patients. The trials used varying algorithms in both the genotype-guided and the clinical dosing arms. Most studies included mixed indications for warfarin use. The trials primarily included patients of European descent; 27% of the participants in the multicenter COAG trial67, were Black. While a few of the RCTs reported differences in the percentage of time the INR was in therapeutic range or the proportion of patients with an INR >4, none reported statistically significant differences in major bleeding, and only 1 (Zhu et al [2020]) reported a significant reduction in TEE (ischemic stroke) with genotype-guided dosing. However, it is important to note that the event rates were very low in the selected trials and the studies were not powered to show differences in rates of major bleeding or TEEs.

Six systematic reviews found that the percentage of time the INR was in the therapeutic range was higher in patients treated with genotype-guided warfarin therapy; however, the heterogeneity between studies was high for this outcome. Recent systematic reviews including the large, multicenter GIFT trial found no difference between genotype-guided dosing and clinical dosing for mortality , but genotype-guided dosing was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding. The absolute number of major bleeding events was low, with an anticipated 8.6 fewer major bleeding events per 1000 people with pharmacogenetic testing (95% CI, 2.7 to 14.4 fewer major bleeding episodes per 1000 people). Subgroup analyses by comparator groups showed that this difference was statistically significant only when pharmacogenetic testing was compared to using a clinical algorithm to guide initial dosing (RR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.81), and not when compared to a fixed dose (RR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.14 to 3.53).

Very few trials have included a sufficient number of subgroups that were not White. In the COAG study, Black individuals (constituting 27% of trial participants) fared better in the clinically-guided group than in the genotype-guided group. One trial of elderly Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation experienced improved time with INR in the therapeutic range and a reduced risk of ischemic stroke, but no difference in bleeding events. There are completed, registered studies that have not been published, so the possibility of publication bias cannot be excluded.

Summary of Evidence

For individuals with conditions requiring warfarin treatment who receive genotype-guided warfarin dosing, the evidence includes multiple randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and systematic reviews of RCTs. Relevant outcomes are morbid events, medication use, and treatment-related mortality and morbidity. Thirty RCTs and 6 recent systematic reviews were identified. Most RCTs were single-center studies including fewer than 250 patients. Systematic reviews found the percentage of time the international normalized ratio (INR) was in therapeutic range was higher in patients treated with genotype-guided warfarin therapy; however, the heterogeneity between studies was high for this outcome. No RCT reported statistically significant differences in major bleeding, and only 1 reported a significant reduction in thromboembolic events (TEEs) with genotype-guided dosing, but studies were not powered to show differences in these outcomes. Meta-analyses of RCTs found no difference between genotype-guided dosing and clinical dosing for mortality, and only 1 found reduction in TEEs, but genotype-guided dosing was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding. Very few trials enrolled sufficient numbers of subpopulations except White participants. In the COAG study, Black individuals (constituting 27% of trial participants) fared better in the clinically-guided group than in the genotype-guided group. One trial of elderly Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation experienced improved time with INR in the therapeutic range and a reduced risk of ischemic stroke but no difference in bleeding events. The evidence is insufficient to determine that the technology results in an improvement in the net health outcome.

Population

Reference No. 1

Policy Statement

[ ] Medically Necessary [X] Investigational

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

The purpose of the following information is to provide reference material. Inclusion does not imply endorsement or alignment with the evidence review conclusions.

Practice Guidelines and Position Statements

Guidelines or position statements will be considered for inclusion in ‘Supplemental Information’ if they were issued by, or jointly by, a US professional society, an international society with US representation, or National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Priority will be given to guidelines that are informed by a systematic review, include strength of evidence ratings, and include a description of management of conflict of interest.

American College of Chest Physicians

In 2012, the ninth edition of the American College of Chest Physicians' evidence-based clinical practice guidelines on antithrombotic therapy and prevention of thrombosis stated: "For patients initiating VKA [vitamin K antagonist] therapy, we recommend against the routine use of pharmacogenetic testing for guiding doses of VKA (Grade 1B)."85, The updated 2021 guidelines make no mention of genotype-guided warfarin dosing.86,

Clinical Pharmacogenetics Implementation Consortium

In 2017, the Clinical Pharmacogenetics Implementation Consortium updated guidelines for pharmacogenetics-guided warfarin dosing.87, The guideline provides recommendations for genotype-guided warfarin dosing to achieve a target international normlized ratio (INR) of 2 to 3 for adult and pediatric patients specific to continental ancestry. The guideline also states that "Although there is substantial evidence associating CYP2C9 and VKORC1 variants with warfarin dosing, randomized clinical trials have demonstrated inconsistent results in terms of clinical outcomes."

U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendations

Not applicable.

Medicare National Coverage

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (2009) published a national coverage determination on pharmacogenomic testing for warfarin response.88, The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services stated that "the available evidence does not demonstrate that pharmacogenomic testing of CYP2C9 or VKORC1 alleles to predict warfarin responsiveness improves health outcomes in Medicare beneficiaries outside the context of CED [coverage with evidence development], and is therefore not reasonable and necessary…."

However, the Centers also "believes that the available evidence supports that coverage with evidence development (CED) … is appropriate for pharmacogenomic testing of CYP2C9 or VKORC1 alleles to predict warfarin responsiveness by any method, and is therefore covered only when provided to Medicare beneficiaries who are candidates for anticoagulation therapy with warfarin who:

  1. Have not been previously tested for CYP2C9 or VKORC1 alleles; and

  2. Have received fewer than 5 days of warfarin in the anticoagulation regimen for which the testing is ordered; and

  3. Are enrolled in a prospective, randomized, controlled clinical study when that study meets [described] standards."

Ongoing and Unpublished Clinical Trials

Some currently ongoing and unpublished trials that might influence this review are listed in Table 8.

Table 8. Summary of Key Trials
NCT No. Trial Name Planned Enrollment Completion Date
NCT01305148a Warfarin Adverse Event Reduction For Adults Receiving Genetic Testing at Therapy INitiation (WARFARIN) 3800 Dec 2015 (suspended)
NCT03479684 Randomized Trial of Genotype-guided Versus Standard for Warfarin Dosing 560 Dec 2021 (completed)
NCT03797534 Individualized Administration of Warfarin by Polymorphisms of VKORC1 and CYP2C9 Genes: A Randomized Controlled Trial, Multi-Center Trial 600 Jan 2023 (unknown)
NCT: national clinical trial.
a Denotes industry-sponsored or cosponsored trial.

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  60. Burmester JK, Berg RL, Yale SH, et al. A randomized controlled trial of genotype-based Coumadin initiation. Genet Med. Jun 2011; 13(6): 509-18. PMID 21423021
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  63. Borgman MP, Pendleton RC, McMillin GA, et al. Prospective pilot trial of PerMIT versus standard anticoagulation service management of patients initiating oral anticoagulation. Thromb Haemost. Sep 2012; 108(3): 561-9. PMID 22836303
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  65. Radhakrishnan AV, D.; Tayur, S.; et al. Genotype Guided Therapeutic Dosing of Warfarin in Geriatric Patients. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2012;59:E1696. PMID
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Codes

Codes Number Description
CPT 81227 CYP2C9 (cytochrome P450, family 2, subfamily C, polypeptide 9) (eg, drug metabolism), gene analysis, common variants (eg, *2, *3, *5, *6)
  81355 VKORC1 (vitamin K epoxide reductase complex, subunit 1) (eg, warfarin metabolism), gene analysis, common variants (eg, -1639/3673)
  0030U Drug metabolism (warfarin drug response), targeted sequence analysis (ie, CYP2C9, CYP4F2, VKORC1, rs12777823)
HCPCS G9143 Warfarin responsiveness testing by genetic technique using any method, any number of specimen(s)
ICD-10-CM   Investigational for all relevant diagnoses
  I48.0 Atrial fibrillation
  Z86.71 Personal history of venous thrombosis and embolism
  Z86.72 Personal history of thrombophlebitis
ICD-10-PCS   Not applicable. ICD-10-PCS codes are only used for inpatient services. There are no ICD procedure codes for laboratory tests.
Type of service Pathology  
Place of service Laboratory/Physician’s Office

Policy History

Date

Action

Description

07/08/24

Annual Review

Policy updated with literature review through April 29, 2024; no references added. Policy statement unchanged.

07/05/23

Annual Review

Policy updated with literature review through May 4, 2023; reference added. Policy statement unchanged.

07/05/22

Annual Review

Policy updated with literature review through April 20, 2022; references added. Minor editorial refinements to policy statement; intent unchanged.

07/07/21

Annual Review

Policy updated with literature review through April 30, 2021; references added. Policy statement unchanged.

07/06/20

Annual Review

Policy updated with literature review through April 16, 2020; references added. Policy statement unchanged.

07/02/19

Annual Review

Policy updated with literature review through April 18, 2019; references added. Policy statement unchanged.

06/14/18

Replace Policy Policy updated with literature review through April 9, 2018; references 5, 31, 51, 52-54, 56-57, 63-66, and 69 were added. Investigational policy statement expanded to include genotyping for CYP4F2. Title changed to reflect focus on genotype-guided dosing as an intervention.

07/19/16

Created

New policy